Event | Probability | 24h Change | Spread | 24h Vol | Vol | Liq | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 28d·Nov 4, 2026 | 66%Democrats Sweep | -1.00¢1.5% | +1.0¢1.5% | $551,149 | $18,516,234 | $7,286,247 | 5 Markets |
Brazil Presidential Election —·Oct 5, 2026 | 84%Flávio Bolsonaro | 1.95¢2.4% | +0.2¢0.2% | $2,958,320 | $174,023,759 | $2,270,454 | 32 Markets |
Fed Decision in October? 22d·Oct 29, 2026 | 81%No change | -3.00¢3.6% | +1.0¢1.2% | $1,570,207 | $26,909,375 | $3,153,231 | 5 Markets |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 25d·Oct 31, 2026 | 100%October 5 | 0.80¢0.8% | +0.3¢0.3% | $250,433 | $6,374,568 | $511,838 | 12 Markets |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 48%Harry Kane | 1.20¢2.5% | +0.4¢0.8% | $682,288 | $44,841,853 | $9,193,219 | 89 Markets |
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? 21d·Oct 28, 2026 | 48%Gadi Eizenkot | -0.65¢1.3% | +1.2¢2.5% | $444,383 | $43,446,870 | $3,981,571 | 28 Markets |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 176d·Apr 1, 2027 | 15%Sudan's Emergency... | 1.30¢9.6% | +0.6¢4.1% | $197,020 | $26,287,964 | $1,707,602 | 71 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Spain? 542d·Apr 1, 2028 | 81%Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 4.00¢5.2% | +2.0¢2.5% | $480,398 | $836,254 | $1,049,875 | 58 Markets |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 73%March 31 | 0.50¢0.7% | +3.0¢4.1% | $573,467 | $36,224,846 | $705,690 | 23 Markets |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 763d·Nov 8, 2028 | 20%JD Vance | 0.20¢1.0% | +0.5¢2.5% | $513,076 | $713,377,621 | $60,294,046 | 128 Markets |
Next French Presidential Election 194d·Apr 19, 2027 | 43%Marine Le Pen | -2.30¢5.1% | +0.1¢0.2% | $948,935 | $145,099,898 | $18,233,979 | 128 Markets |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 82%No: Strait of Hor... | —— | +1.0¢5.4% | $187,563 | $14,238,266 | $610,726 | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 28d·Nov 4, 2026 | 93%Democratic Party | —— | +1.0¢1.1% | $232,245 | $13,983,780 | $5,118,852 | 9 Markets |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 86%No: Will the U.S.... | -1.00¢6.3% | +1.0¢6.9% | $504,986 | $72,173,144 | $1,161,670 | |
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion 256d·Jun 20, 2027 | 22%Barcelona | —— | +1.0¢4.7% | $460,221 | $45,963,487 | $11,764,833 | 42 Markets |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 763d·Nov 8, 2028 | 18%Alexandria Ocasio... | 0.30¢1.7% | +0.1¢0.6% | $312,293 | $1,288,379,117 | $77,635,754 | 128 Markets |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 95%No: Clarity Act (... | 0.20¢4.3% | +0.1¢2.1% | $303,245 | $23,804,999 | $441,891 | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 3%December 31 | —— | +0.1¢3.2% | $189,173 | $71,760,811 | $1,081,563 | 7 Markets |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 14%December 31 | -2.00¢11.8% | +1.0¢6.9% | $157,152 | $16,503,777 | $610,511 | 12 Markets |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 3h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 13:00 | 100%HANJIN BRION | —— | +0.1¢0.1% | $2,201,749 | $2,471,786 | $2,108,971 | 36 Markets |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? —·Oct 5, 2026 | 100%Up | 20.35¢25.6% | +0.1¢0.1% | $1,528,292 | $1,588,732 | $237,317 | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? 6h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 100%80,000 | 0.60¢0.6% | +0.1¢0.1% | $575,576 | $818,968 | $500,768 | 11 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 6h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 71%200-219 | 68.90¢2,296.7% | +1.1¢1.5% | $417,857 | $1,766,023 | $470,744 | 26 Markets |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 8h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 18:00 | 62%G2 | —— | +1.0¢1.6% | $381,637 | $381,099 | $460,260 | 11 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain - More Markets 9h 34m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 98%Spain | -0.15¢6.4% | +0.2¢8.3% | $352,633 | $386,752 | $1,188,386 | 60 Markets |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 13h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 23:00 | 57%Team Falcons | —— | +1.0¢1.7% | $346,413 | $311,297 | $766,224 | 11 Markets |
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 76%Naomi Osaka | -32.00¢57.1% | +1.0¢4.1% | $345,746 | $342,959 | $366,584 | 16 Markets |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 11h 19m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 20:30 | 57%BetBoom Team | —— | +1.0¢2.4% | $338,554 | $323,409 | $391,832 | 11 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Romania? 451d·Jan 1, 2028 | 47%Luca Niculescu | 31.85¢207.5% | +0.1¢0.2% | $334,655 | $4,795,455 | $1,275,342 | 49 Markets |
Putin out as President of Russia by...? 267d·Jul 1, 2027 | 11%June 30, 2027 | —— | +1.0¢9.5% | $303,761 | $27,568,626 | $793,519 | 5 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? 25d·Nov 1, 2026 | 83%↑ 87,500 | 1.00¢1.3% | +1.0¢1.2% | $295,466 | $2,801,367 | $1,497,961 | 23 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain 9h 34m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 77%Spain | -2.00¢2.5% | +1.0¢1.3% | $270,979 | $547,851 | $882,265 | 3 Markets |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 7h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 17:00 | 54%JD Gaming | —— | +1.0¢1.9% | $264,190 | $264,089 | $347,185 | 30 Markets |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 78%Carlos Alcaraz | —— | +1.0¢1.3% | $258,305 | $258,272 | $57,956 | 16 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? 5d·Oct 12, 2026 | 54%↓ 84,000 | -9.00¢11.3% | +1.0¢1.9% | $233,395 | $288,543 | $481,236 | 15 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto 7d·Oct 13, 2026 | 57%Kyrian Jacquet | —— | +1.0¢1.7% | $226,190 | $226,187 | $165,840 | 17 Markets |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 6h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 86%Team Vitality | —— | +1.0¢1.2% | $187,386 | $187,386 | $123,984 | 29 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 52%Coleman Wong | —— | +1.0¢1.9% | $186,482 | $186,263 | $30,876 | 16 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 3d·Oct 9, 2026 | 30%200-219 | —— | +1.0¢3.4% | $184,494 | $753,741 | $274,092 | 26 Markets |
MLB World Series Champion 2026 25d·Oct 31, 2026 | 28%Los Angeles Dodgers | —— | +1.0¢3.5% | $167,677 | $43,457,362 | $666,134 | 31 Markets |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? 86d·Dec 31, 2026 | 96%October 9 | —— | +3.7¢3.8% | $160,527 | $32,750,796 | $354,575 | 27 Markets |
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? 2h 49m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 12:00 | 100%28°C | 58.85¢143.4% | +0.1¢0.1% | $156,737 | $165,316 | $173,009 | 11 Markets |
England vs. Czechia 9h 34m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 89%England | 1.00¢1.1% | +1.0¢1.1% | $150,486 | $259,124 | $666,279 | 3 Markets |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs 4h 59m 20s·Oct 6, 2026 14:10 | 67%CyberHero | —— | +1.0¢3.0% | $146,589 | $146,474 | $9,639 | 29 Markets |
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? 25d·Nov 1, 2026 | 80%↓ $85 | 13.00¢19.1% | +3.0¢3.8% | $139,423 | $855,259 | $485,962 | 23 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 7d·Oct 13, 2026 | 25%200-219 | —— | +1.0¢4.1% | $128,598 | $217,119 | $315,477 | 26 Markets |