Event | Probability | 24h Change | Spread | 24h Vol | Vol | Liq | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 66%Democrats Sweep | -1.00ยข1.5% | +1.0ยข1.5% | $549,162 | $18,517,472 | $7,322,435 | 5 Markets |
Brazil Presidential Election โยทOct 5, 2026 | 84%Flรกvio Bolsonaro | 1.80ยข2.2% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $2,835,685 | $174,033,741 | $2,270,048 | 32 Markets |
Fed Decision in October? 22dยทOct 29, 2026 | 81%No change | -3.00ยข3.6% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $1,570,123 | $26,909,465 | $3,216,522 | 5 Markets |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 100%October 5 | 0.60ยข0.6% | +0.3ยข0.3% | $248,611 | $6,374,618 | $488,479 | 12 Markets |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 48%Harry Kane | 1.30ยข2.8% | +0.4ยข0.8% | $684,272 | $44,845,434 | $9,200,583 | 89 Markets |
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? 21dยทOct 28, 2026 | 48%Gadi Eizenkot | -0.70ยข1.5% | +1.1ยข2.3% | $444,402 | $43,447,255 | $4,019,922 | 28 Markets |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 176dยทApr 1, 2027 | 15%Sudan's Emergency... | 1.55ยข11.6% | +0.1ยข0.7% | $197,186 | $26,288,332 | $1,711,194 | 71 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Spain? 542dยทApr 1, 2028 | 82%Alberto Nรบรฑez Feijรณo | 5.00ยข6.5% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $480,522 | $839,548 | $1,096,285 | 58 Markets |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 73%March 31 | 0.50ยข0.7% | +3.0ยข4.1% | $574,179 | $36,226,728 | $682,588 | 23 Markets |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 20%JD Vance | 0.20ยข1.0% | +0.5ยข2.5% | $550,774 | $713,423,556 | $60,628,392 | 128 Markets |
Next French Presidential Election 194dยทApr 19, 2027 | 43%Marine Le Pen | -2.30ยข5.1% | +0.1ยข0.2% | $952,843 | $145,107,614 | $18,245,578 | 128 Markets |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 82%No: Strait of Hor... | โโ | +1.0ยข5.4% | $187,563 | $14,238,266 | $611,235 | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 93%Democratic Party | โโ | +1.0ยข1.1% | $275,212 | $14,026,747 | $5,115,598 | 9 Markets |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 86%No: Will the U.S.... | -1.00ยข6.3% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $512,838 | $72,181,146 | $1,155,836 | |
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion 256dยทJun 20, 2027 | 24%Barcelona | 2.00ยข10.0% | +1.0ยข4.3% | $465,401 | $45,977,649 | $11,463,322 | 42 Markets |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 18%Alexandria Ocasio... | 0.30ยข1.7% | +0.1ยข0.6% | $402,526 | $1,288,469,479 | $77,589,500 | 128 Markets |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 95%No: Clarity Act (... | 0.15ยข3.2% | +0.1ยข2.1% | $303,229 | $23,804,999 | $439,437 | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 3%December 31 | โโ | +0.1ยข3.2% | $189,427 | $71,761,065 | $1,068,402 | 7 Markets |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 14%December 31 | -2.00ยข11.8% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $154,123 | $16,503,840 | $609,870 | 12 Markets |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 99%November 30 | 21.45ยข27.7% | +1.9ยข1.9% | $147,928 | $2,519,493 | $175,762 | 7 Markets |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? โยทOct 5, 2026 | 100%Up | 16.35ยข19.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $1,528,300 | $1,591,246 | $251,435 | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? 6h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 100%80,000 | 0.60ยข0.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $587,078 | $835,309 | $510,647 | 11 Markets |
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 82%Karolina Muchova | 25.00ยข43.1% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $441,521 | $441,264 | $34,455 | 16 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 6h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 73%200-219 | 69.70ยข2,248.4% | +0.6ยข0.8% | $420,909 | $1,786,618 | $593,073 | 26 Markets |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 8h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 18:00 | 62%G2 | โโ | +1.0ยข1.6% | $384,336 | $383,798 | $462,326 | 11 Markets |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 10h 52m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 20:30 | 57%BetBoom Team | โโ | +1.0ยข2.4% | $359,322 | $343,994 | $390,398 | 11 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain - More Markets 9h 7m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 98%Spain | -0.20ยข8.3% | +0.3ยข12.8% | $356,832 | $391,051 | $1,112,167 | 60 Markets |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 13h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 23:00 | 57%Team Falcons | โโ | +1.0ยข1.7% | $351,794 | $316,597 | $778,593 | 11 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Romania? 451dยทJan 1, 2028 | 46%Luca Niculescu | 30.15ยข178.9% | +0.4ยข0.9% | $337,144 | $4,797,945 | $1,284,498 | 49 Markets |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 62%Carlos Alcaraz | โโ | +2.0ยข3.2% | $309,741 | $308,800 | $137,596 | 16 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 82%โ 87,500 | -0.50ยข0.6% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $294,712 | $2,802,319 | $1,505,698 | 23 Markets |
Putin out as President of Russia by...? 267dยทJul 1, 2027 | 10%June 30, 2027 | -0.50ยข4.3% | +2.0ยข20.0% | $294,543 | $27,570,042 | $780,944 | 5 Markets |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 7h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 17:00 | 54%JD Gaming | โโ | +1.0ยข1.9% | $274,062 | $273,961 | $360,562 | 30 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain 9h 7m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 77%Spain | -2.00ยข2.5% | +1.0ยข1.3% | $271,555 | $548,481 | $899,695 | 3 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 51%Kyrian Jacquet | โโ | +1.0ยข2.0% | $255,499 | $255,430 | $53,145 | 17 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? 5dยทOct 12, 2026 | 56%โ 84,000 | -5.00ยข8.3% | +1.0ยข1.8% | $232,769 | $288,987 | $473,106 | 15 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 94%Coleman Wong | โโ | +1.0ยข1.1% | $209,267 | $208,858 | $68,755 | 16 Markets |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs 4h 32m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 14:10 | 100%CyberHero | โโ | +0.1ยข3.3% | $207,005 | $206,560 | $179,695 | 31 Markets |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 6h 2m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 15:40 | 87%Team Vitality | โโ | +1.0ยข1.2% | $201,454 | $201,454 | $190,986 | 29 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 3dยทOct 9, 2026 | 30%180-199 | 18.00ยข150.0% | +1.0ยข3.4% | $187,665 | $765,031 | $272,312 | 26 Markets |
MLB World Series Champion 2026 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 28%Los Angeles Dodgers | โโ | +1.0ยข3.5% | $167,587 | $43,457,367 | $665,834 | 31 Markets |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? 86dยทDec 31, 2026 | 96%October 9 | โโ | +3.7ยข3.8% | $167,443 | $32,757,713 | $352,294 | 27 Markets |
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? 2h 22m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 12:00 | 100%28ยฐC | 58.95ยข144.0% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $158,869 | $168,002 | $206,204 | 11 Markets |
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 83%โ $85 | 16.00ยข23.5% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $155,040 | $873,052 | $458,935 | 23 Markets |
England vs. Czechia 9h 7m 53sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 89%England | 1.00ยข1.1% | +1.0ยข1.1% | $150,894 | $260,245 | $578,477 | 3 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 25%200-219 | โโ | +1.0ยข4.1% | $141,323 | $230,180 | $340,688 | 26 Markets |