Event | Probability | 24h Change | Spread | 24h Vol | Vol | Liq | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 66%Democrats Sweep | -1.00ยข1.5% | +1.0ยข1.5% | $549,162 | $18,517,472 | $7,315,284 | 5 Markets |
Brazil Presidential Election โยทOct 5, 2026 | 84%Flรกvio Bolsonaro | 1.80ยข2.2% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $2,835,685 | $174,033,741 | $2,260,739 | 32 Markets |
Fed Decision in October? 22dยทOct 29, 2026 | 81%No change | -3.00ยข3.6% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $1,570,123 | $26,909,465 | $3,188,479 | 5 Markets |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 100%October 5 | 0.80ยข0.8% | +0.3ยข0.3% | $248,611 | $6,374,618 | $498,967 | 12 Markets |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 48%Harry Kane | 1.20ยข2.5% | +0.4ยข0.8% | $684,272 | $44,845,434 | $9,188,950 | 89 Markets |
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? 21dยทOct 28, 2026 | 48%Gadi Eizenkot | -0.65ยข1.4% | +1.2ยข2.5% | $444,402 | $43,447,255 | $4,011,008 | 28 Markets |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 176dยทApr 1, 2027 | 15%Sudan's Emergency... | 1.30ยข9.6% | +0.6ยข4.1% | $197,186 | $26,288,332 | $1,700,413 | 71 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Spain? 542dยทApr 1, 2028 | 82%Alberto Nรบรฑez Feijรณo | 4.50ยข5.8% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $480,522 | $839,548 | $1,072,540 | 58 Markets |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 73%March 31 | 0.50ยข0.7% | +3.0ยข4.1% | $574,179 | $36,226,728 | $688,247 | 23 Markets |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 20%JD Vance | 0.20ยข1.0% | +0.5ยข2.5% | $550,774 | $713,423,556 | $60,456,728 | 128 Markets |
Next French Presidential Election 194dยทApr 19, 2027 | 43%Marine Le Pen | -2.30ยข5.1% | +0.1ยข0.2% | $952,843 | $145,107,614 | $18,238,615 | 128 Markets |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 82%No: Strait of Hor... | โโ | +1.0ยข5.4% | $187,563 | $14,238,266 | $611,623 | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 93%Democratic Party | โโ | +1.0ยข1.1% | $275,212 | $14,026,747 | $5,102,010 | 9 Markets |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 86%No: Will the U.S.... | -1.00ยข6.3% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $512,838 | $72,181,146 | $1,156,552 | |
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion 256dยทJun 20, 2027 | 22%Barcelona | โโ | +1.0ยข4.7% | $465,401 | $45,977,649 | $11,759,100 | 42 Markets |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 18%Alexandria Ocasio... | 0.30ยข1.7% | +0.1ยข0.6% | $402,526 | $1,288,469,479 | $77,581,512 | 128 Markets |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 95%No: Clarity Act (... | 0.20ยข4.3% | +0.1ยข2.1% | $303,229 | $23,804,999 | $441,214 | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 3%December 31 | โโ | +0.1ยข3.2% | $189,427 | $71,761,065 | $1,066,957 | 7 Markets |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 14%December 31 | -2.00ยข11.8% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $154,123 | $16,503,840 | $611,786 | 12 Markets |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 99%November 30 | 23.85ยข31.7% | +1.7ยข1.7% | $147,928 | $2,519,493 | $163,132 | 7 Markets |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? โยทOct 5, 2026 | 100%Up | 20.35ยข25.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $1,528,300 | $1,591,246 | $251,546 | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? 6h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 100%80,000 | 0.60ยข0.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $587,078 | $835,309 | $408,275 | 11 Markets |
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 51%Naomi Osaka | -7.00ยข12.5% | +1.0ยข2.0% | $441,521 | $441,264 | $47,474 | 16 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 6h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 71%200-219 | 68.85ยข2,415.8% | +1.4ยข2.0% | $420,909 | $1,786,618 | $589,467 | 26 Markets |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 8h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 18:00 | 62%G2 | โโ | +1.0ยข1.6% | $384,336 | $383,798 | $463,119 | 11 Markets |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 10h 54m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 20:30 | 57%BetBoom Team | โโ | +1.0ยข2.4% | $359,322 | $343,994 | $391,014 | 11 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain - More Markets 9h 9m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 98%Spain | -0.20ยข8.3% | +0.3ยข12.8% | $356,832 | $391,051 | $1,179,616 | 60 Markets |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 13h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 23:00 | 57%Team Falcons | โโ | +1.0ยข1.7% | $351,794 | $316,597 | $779,020 | 11 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Romania? 451dยทJan 1, 2028 | 46%Luca Niculescu | 30.45ยข184.0% | +0.3ยข0.7% | $337,144 | $4,797,945 | $1,271,206 | 49 Markets |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 60%Carlos Alcaraz | โโ | +1.0ยข1.7% | $309,741 | $308,800 | $75,308 | 16 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 81%โ 87,500 | -1.00ยข1.2% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $294,712 | $2,802,319 | $1,241,683 | 23 Markets |
Putin out as President of Russia by...? 267dยทJul 1, 2027 | 11%June 30, 2027 | โโ | +1.0ยข9.5% | $294,543 | $27,570,042 | $783,314 | 5 Markets |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 7h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 17:00 | 54%JD Gaming | โโ | +1.0ยข1.9% | $274,062 | $273,961 | $369,369 | 30 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain 9h 9m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 77%Spain | -2.00ยข2.5% | +1.0ยข1.3% | $271,555 | $548,481 | $898,375 | 3 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 72%Rei Sakamoto | โโ | +1.0ยข3.5% | $255,499 | $255,430 | $35,351 | 17 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? 5dยทOct 12, 2026 | 59%โ 84,000 | -4.00ยข6.8% | +1.0ยข1.7% | $232,769 | $288,987 | $216,567 | 15 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 92%Coleman Wong | โโ | +2.0ยข2.2% | $209,267 | $208,858 | $25,676 | 16 Markets |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs 4h 34m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 14:10 | 100%CyberHero | โโ | +0.1ยข3.3% | $207,005 | $206,560 | $167,151 | 30 Markets |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 6h 4m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 15:40 | 87%Team Vitality | โโ | +1.0ยข1.2% | $201,454 | $201,454 | $262,353 | 29 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 3dยทOct 9, 2026 | 30%180-199 | 18.50ยข160.9% | +1.0ยข3.4% | $187,665 | $765,031 | $273,926 | 26 Markets |
MLB World Series Champion 2026 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 28%Los Angeles Dodgers | โโ | +1.0ยข3.5% | $167,587 | $43,457,367 | $660,526 | 31 Markets |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? 86dยทDec 31, 2026 | 96%October 9 | โโ | +3.7ยข3.8% | $167,443 | $32,757,713 | $349,883 | 27 Markets |
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? 2h 24m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 12:00 | 100%28ยฐC | 58.95ยข144.0% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $158,869 | $168,002 | $208,637 | 11 Markets |
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 81%โ $85 | 14.50ยข20.9% | +2.0ยข2.5% | $155,040 | $873,052 | $457,480 | 23 Markets |
England vs. Czechia 9h 9m 45sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 89%England | 1.00ยข1.1% | +1.0ยข1.1% | $150,894 | $260,245 | $545,855 | 3 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 25%200-219 | โโ | +1.0ยข4.1% | $141,323 | $230,180 | $310,477 | 26 Markets |