Event | Probability | 24h Change | Spread | 24h Vol | Vol | Liq | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 66%Democrats Sweep | -1.00ยข1.5% | +1.0ยข1.5% | $550,348 | $18,519,408 | $7,344,936 | 5 Markets |
Brazil Presidential Election โยทOct 5, 2026 | 84%Flรกvio Bolsonaro | 1.80ยข2.2% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $2,849,624 | $174,052,995 | $2,268,564 | 32 Markets |
Fed Decision in October? 22dยทOct 29, 2026 | 81%No change | -3.00ยข3.6% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $1,589,977 | $26,929,243 | $3,072,093 | 5 Markets |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 100%October 5 | 0.60ยข0.6% | +0.3ยข0.3% | $246,463 | $6,375,604 | $500,936 | 12 Markets |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 48%Harry Kane | 1.35ยข2.9% | +0.3ยข0.6% | $686,103 | $44,847,548 | $9,181,503 | 89 Markets |
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? 21dยทOct 28, 2026 | 48%Gadi Eizenkot | -0.70ยข1.5% | +1.1ยข2.3% | $444,085 | $43,447,275 | $4,031,200 | 28 Markets |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 176dยทApr 1, 2027 | 15%Sudan's Emergency... | 1.55ยข11.6% | +0.1ยข0.7% | $197,352 | $26,288,498 | $1,683,452 | 71 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Spain? 542dยทApr 1, 2028 | 82%Alberto Nรบรฑez Feijรณo | 5.00ยข6.5% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $479,796 | $839,917 | $1,099,431 | 58 Markets |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 73%March 31 | 0.50ยข0.7% | +3.0ยข4.1% | $556,233 | $36,229,649 | $705,277 | 23 Markets |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 20%JD Vance | 0.20ยข1.0% | +0.5ยข2.5% | $573,726 | $713,456,920 | $60,638,057 | 128 Markets |
Next French Presidential Election 194dยทApr 19, 2027 | 43%Marine Le Pen | -2.30ยข5.1% | +0.1ยข0.2% | $953,913 | $145,108,690 | $18,199,736 | 128 Markets |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 82%No: Strait of Hor... | โโ | +1.0ยข5.4% | $187,503 | $14,238,266 | $609,126 | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 28dยทNov 4, 2026 | 93%Democratic Party | โโ | +1.0ยข1.1% | $275,654 | $14,026,993 | $5,159,854 | 9 Markets |
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion 256dยทJun 20, 2027 | 24%Barcelona | 2.00ยข10.0% | +1.0ยข4.3% | $657,327 | $46,174,570 | $11,092,436 | 42 Markets |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 86%No: Will the U.S.... | -1.00ยข6.3% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $512,814 | $72,181,146 | $1,142,147 | |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 763dยทNov 8, 2028 | 18%Alexandria Ocasio... | 0.30ยข1.7% | +0.1ยข0.6% | $402,682 | $1,288,469,708 | $77,588,020 | 128 Markets |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 95%No: Clarity Act (... | 0.15ยข3.2% | +0.1ยข2.1% | $302,718 | $23,804,999 | $440,165 | |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 3%December 31 | โโ | +0.1ยข3.2% | $191,818 | $71,763,456 | $1,008,151 | 7 Markets |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? 86dยทJan 1, 2027 | 14%December 31 | -2.00ยข11.8% | +1.0ยข6.9% | $154,123 | $16,503,840 | $609,674 | 12 Markets |
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 100%October 31 | 44.25ยข80.1% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $149,338 | $2,526,868 | $185,273 | 7 Markets |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? โยทOct 5, 2026 | 100%Up | 16.35ยข19.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $1,531,272 | $1,594,638 | $250,980 | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? 6h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 100%80,000 | 0.60ยข0.6% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $607,636 | $858,591 | $711,632 | 11 Markets |
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 53%Karolina Muchova | -4.00ยข7.1% | +1.0ยข1.9% | $512,746 | $509,973 | $113,714 | 16 Markets |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 6dยทOct 13, 2026 | 80%Carlos Alcaraz | โโ | +1.0ยข1.3% | $427,074 | $426,604 | $250,411 | 16 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 6h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 16:00 | 73%200-219 | 70.10ยข2,261.3% | +0.6ยข0.8% | $424,090 | $1,792,413 | $590,284 | 26 Markets |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 8h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 18:00 | 62%G2 | โโ | +1.0ยข1.6% | $384,926 | $384,388 | $510,743 | 11 Markets |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 10h 37m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 20:30 | 57%BetBoom Team | โโ | +1.0ยข2.4% | $359,893 | $344,748 | $400,461 | 11 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain - More Markets 8h 52m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 98%Spain | -0.40ยข15.4% | +0.7ยข32.6% | $357,074 | $391,296 | $1,079,104 | 60 Markets |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 13h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 23:00 | 57%Team Falcons | โโ | +1.0ยข1.7% | $352,213 | $317,096 | $792,621 | 11 Markets |
Next Prime Minister of Romania? 451dยทJan 1, 2028 | 47%Luca Niculescu | 31.35ยข204.2% | +1.2ยข2.6% | $337,084 | $4,797,945 | $1,319,087 | 49 Markets |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 7h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 17:00 | 54%JD Gaming | โโ | +1.0ยข1.9% | $336,480 | $336,125 | $425,921 | 30 Markets |
Putin out as President of Russia by...? 267dยทJul 1, 2027 | 10%June 30, 2027 | -0.50ยข4.3% | +2.0ยข20.0% | $322,094 | $27,601,613 | $782,566 | 5 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 56%Rei Sakamoto | โโ | +11.0ยข24.7% | $297,919 | $292,758 | $85,015 | 17 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 83%โ 87,500 | 0.50ยข0.6% | +1.0ยข1.2% | $285,717 | $2,803,759 | $1,456,900 | 23 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain 8h 52m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 77%Spain | -2.00ยข2.5% | +1.0ยข1.3% | $275,266 | $552,317 | $897,365 | 3 Markets |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 5h 47m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 15:40 | 86%Team Vitality | โโ | +1.0ยข1.2% | $264,643 | $264,577 | $221,732 | 31 Markets |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs 4h 17m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 14:10 | 100%CyberHero | โโ | +0.1ยข3.3% | $235,642 | $235,614 | $232,780 | 32 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? 5dยทOct 12, 2026 | 54%โ 84,000 | -7.00ยข11.3% | +1.0ยข1.9% | $231,687 | $289,093 | $715,404 | 15 Markets |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur 7dยทOct 13, 2026 | 62%Novak Djokovic | โโ | +1.0ยข1.6% | $201,163 | $200,745 | $507,877 | 16 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 3dยทOct 9, 2026 | 30%180-199 | 18.00ยข150.0% | +1.0ยข3.4% | $185,090 | $768,018 | $282,304 | 26 Markets |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? 86dยทDec 31, 2026 | 96%October 9 | โโ | +3.7ยข3.8% | $168,194 | $32,758,464 | $354,335 | 27 Markets |
MLB World Series Champion 2026 25dยทOct 31, 2026 | 28%Los Angeles Dodgers | โโ | +1.0ยข3.5% | $167,590 | $43,457,369 | $671,306 | 31 Markets |
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? 2h 7m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 12:00 | 100%28ยฐC | 58.95ยข144.0% | +0.1ยข0.1% | $160,712 | $170,034 | $209,168 | 11 Markets |
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? 25dยทNov 1, 2026 | 83%โ $85 | 16.50ยข24.4% | +2.0ยข2.4% | $156,373 | $874,517 | $665,525 | 23 Markets |
England vs. Czechia 8h 52m 25sยทOct 6, 2026 18:45 | 89%England | 1.00ยข1.1% | +1.0ยข1.1% | $152,530 | $261,882 | $664,642 | 3 Markets |