Prediction Discovery
Event | Probability | 24h Change | Spread | 24h Vol | Vol | Liq | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 28d·Nov 4, 2026 | 66%Democrats Sweep | -1.00¢1.5% | +1.0¢1.5% | $550,918 | $18,516,235 | $7,315,611 | 5 Markets |
 Brazil Presidential Election —·Oct 5, 2026 | 84%Flávio Bolsonaro | 1.85¢2.3% | +0.2¢0.2% | $2,952,987 | $174,025,421 | $2,266,343 | 32 Markets |
 Fed Decision in October? 22d·Oct 29, 2026 | 81%No change | -3.00¢3.6% | +1.0¢1.2% | $1,570,189 | $26,909,425 | $3,228,646 | 5 Markets |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 25d·Oct 31, 2026 | 100%October 5 | 0.80¢0.8% | +0.3¢0.3% | $248,575 | $6,374,568 | $491,149 | 12 Markets |
 Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 48%Harry Kane | 1.25¢2.6% | +0.5¢1.0% | $683,484 | $44,843,832 | $9,195,433 | 89 Markets |
 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? 21d·Oct 28, 2026 | 48%Gadi Eizenkot | -0.65¢1.3% | +1.2¢2.5% | $444,572 | $43,447,109 | $3,988,526 | 28 Markets |
 Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 176d·Apr 1, 2027 | 15%Sudan's Emergency... | 1.30¢9.6% | +0.6¢4.1% | $197,197 | $26,288,332 | $1,703,037 | 71 Markets |
 Next Prime Minister of Spain? 542d·Apr 1, 2028 | 82%Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 4.50¢5.9% | +1.0¢1.2% | $483,233 | $839,535 | $1,050,266 | 58 Markets |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 73%March 31 | 0.50¢0.7% | +3.0¢4.1% | $573,436 | $36,224,851 | $703,001 | 23 Markets |
 Presidential Election Winner 2028 763d·Nov 8, 2028 | 20%JD Vance | 0.20¢1.0% | +0.5¢2.5% | $558,889 | $713,423,533 | $60,294,656 | 128 Markets |
 Next French Presidential Election 194d·Apr 19, 2027 | 43%Marine Le Pen | -2.30¢5.1% | +0.1¢0.2% | $952,993 | $145,106,942 | $18,234,274 | 128 Markets |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 82%No: Strait of Hor... | —— | +1.0¢5.4% | $187,563 | $14,238,266 | $611,691 | |
 Which party will win the House in 2026? 28d·Nov 4, 2026 | 93%Democratic Party | —— | +1.0¢1.1% | $232,745 | $13,984,280 | $5,100,463 | 9 Markets |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 86%No: Will the U.S.... | -1.00¢6.3% | +1.0¢6.9% | $507,843 | $72,176,145 | $1,156,517 | |
 UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion 256d·Jun 20, 2027 | 22%Barcelona | —— | +1.0¢4.7% | $460,293 | $45,968,078 | $11,762,773 | 42 Markets |
 Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 763d·Nov 8, 2028 | 18%Alexandria Ocasio... | 0.30¢1.7% | +0.1¢0.6% | $312,420 | $1,288,379,281 | $77,635,425 | 128 Markets |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 95%No: Clarity Act (... | 0.20¢4.3% | +0.1¢2.1% | $303,245 | $23,804,999 | $441,480 | |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 3%December 31 | —— | +0.1¢3.2% | $189,255 | $71,760,893 | $1,077,909 | 7 Markets |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? 86d·Jan 1, 2027 | 14%December 31 | -2.00¢11.8% | +1.0¢6.9% | $154,185 | $16,503,840 | $610,171 | 12 Markets |
 LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 3h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 13:00 | 97%HANJIN BRION | —— | +1.2¢1.2% | $2,484,921 | $2,753,155 | $2,116,414 | 36 Markets |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? —·Oct 5, 2026 | 100%Up | 20.35¢25.6% | +0.1¢0.1% | $1,526,404 | $1,588,743 | $254,768 | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? 6h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 100%80,000 | 0.60¢0.6% | +0.1¢0.1% | $576,431 | $821,479 | $496,219 | 11 Markets |
 Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026? 6h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 71%200-219 | 68.90¢2,460.7% | +0.9¢1.3% | $408,533 | $1,770,267 | $469,927 | 26 Markets |
 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 55%Karolina Muchova | -2.00¢3.6% | +1.0¢1.8% | $397,232 | $394,658 | $91,015 | 16 Markets |
 Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 8h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 18:00 | 62%G2 | —— | +1.0¢1.6% | $381,958 | $381,421 | $465,911 | 11 Markets |
 Croatia vs. Spain - More Markets 9h 27m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 98%Spain | -0.15¢6.4% | +0.2¢8.3% | $356,124 | $390,342 | $1,192,718 | 60 Markets |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 13h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 23:00 | 57%Team Falcons | —— | +1.0¢1.7% | $350,746 | $315,629 | $771,396 | 11 Markets |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage 11h 12m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 20:30 | 57%BetBoom Team | —— | +1.0¢2.4% | $338,799 | $323,654 | $390,158 | 11 Markets |
 Next Prime Minister of Romania? 451d·Jan 1, 2028 | 46%Luca Niculescu | 30.50¢184.8% | +0.4¢0.9% | $335,844 | $4,796,645 | $1,284,114 | 49 Markets |
 Putin out as President of Russia by...? 267d·Jul 1, 2027 | 11%June 30, 2027 | —— | +1.0¢9.5% | $303,864 | $27,568,729 | $783,534 | 5 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? 25d·Nov 1, 2026 | 83%↑ 87,500 | 1.00¢1.3% | +1.0¢1.2% | $294,728 | $2,801,382 | $1,501,722 | 23 Markets |
Croatia vs. Spain 9h 27m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 77%Spain | -2.00¢2.5% | +1.0¢1.3% | $271,010 | $547,935 | $886,655 | 3 Markets |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 7h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 17:00 | 54%JD Gaming | —— | +1.0¢1.9% | $269,290 | $269,190 | $363,287 | 30 Markets |
 Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 69%Carlos Alcaraz | —— | +1.0¢1.5% | $267,205 | $266,520 | $54,477 | 16 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto 7d·Oct 13, 2026 | 58%Kyrian Jacquet | —— | +4.0¢6.9% | $246,864 | $246,864 | $165,478 | 17 Markets |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? 5d·Oct 12, 2026 | 55%↓ 84,000 | -8.00¢10.1% | +1.0¢1.8% | $233,478 | $288,965 | $479,259 | 15 Markets |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Lloyd Harris 6d·Oct 13, 2026 | 51%Lloyd Harris | —— | +3.0¢6.1% | $201,829 | $201,764 | $77,749 | 16 Markets |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage 6h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 16:00 | 86%Team Vitality | —— | +1.0¢1.2% | $192,367 | $192,367 | $248,814 | 29 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026? 3d·Oct 9, 2026 | 30%180-199 | 18.50¢160.9% | +1.0¢3.4% | $184,857 | $761,442 | $276,583 | 26 Markets |
 Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs 4h 52m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 14:10 | 100%CyberHero | —— | +0.1¢3.3% | $171,133 | $170,704 | $9,445 | 30 Markets |
 MLB World Series Champion 2026 25d·Oct 31, 2026 | 28%Los Angeles Dodgers | —— | +1.0¢3.5% | $167,582 | $43,457,362 | $657,518 | 31 Markets |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? 86d·Dec 31, 2026 | 96%October 9 | —— | +3.7¢3.8% | $165,702 | $32,755,972 | $352,311 | 27 Markets |
 Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? 2h 42m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 12:00 | 100%28°C | 58.95¢144.0% | +0.1¢0.1% | $156,208 | $165,325 | $186,853 | 11 Markets |
England vs. Czechia 9h 27m 41s·Oct 6, 2026 18:45 | 89%England | 1.00¢1.1% | +1.0¢1.1% | $150,781 | $260,133 | $666,640 | 3 Markets |
 What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? 25d·Nov 1, 2026 | 80%↓ $85 | 13.50¢20.0% | +2.0¢2.5% | $141,341 | $857,591 | $476,887 | 23 Markets |
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? 7d·Oct 13, 2026 | 25%200-219 | —— | +1.0¢4.1% | $137,154 | $225,675 | $314,955 | 26 Markets |